Rishi Sunak warned he could be facing judgement day as Labour lead increases

Rishi Sunak mocks Keir Starmer over ‘prepared lines’ for PMQs

Rishi Sunak could be facing “judgement day” soon if he fails to turn things around for the Conservative Party, a senior backbencher has warned as new polling reveals that Labour has increased its lead.

The weeking Techne UK tracker poll for Express.co.uk has seen Labour’s lead rise to 21 points over the Conservatives putting Sir Keir Starmer on course for a massive victory in the election next year.

According to the survey of 1,630 people, among those who have decided how they would vote 46 percent would support Labour (up 1), the Tories are on 25 percent (unchanged), the Lib Dems are on 11 percent (unchanged), Reform UK up 1 to 7 percent, and Greens unchanged on 6 percent.

If this were the result in a general election, the prediction website Electoral Calculus suggests that the Conservatives would be reduced to just 105 seats, their lowest ever in more than 300 years of history.

Meanwhile, Starmer would have a massive majority of 270.

READ MORE: Tory MP Crispin Blunt arrested on suspicion of rape

The polling comes ahead of Mr Sunak hoping to reset his government with a new program in the King’s Speech in November.

There is also speculation that he could have another reshuffle to try to strengthen his top team.

However, senior backbenchers have warned that he now faces to major flash points which could decide whether colleagues trigger another leadership vote.

The first is a forthcoming court decision on whether illegal migrants can be deported to Rwanda.

If the court decision goes against the government the Prime Minister will face enormous pressure to opt out of the European Convention of Human Rights on the tackling illegal migration.

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One for minister told Express.co.uk: “That really will be judgement day for the Prime Minister if he fails to act I ca see colleagues moving against him and even the possibility of ministers resigning.”

The second is the Budget at the end of November with 36 Tory MPs already signed up to oppose any new tax rises or stealth increases.

One Conservative MP told Express.co.uk: “If we don’t get some tax cuts we may as well give up.”

The latest poll comes after two terrible by-election results last week where the party lost ultra safe seats of Mid Bedfordshire and Tamworth.

The party is now facing the possibility of a by-election in Wellingborough with the suspension of vetera MP Peter Bone.

And the Tories have been hit with another potential scandal after Crispin Blunt admitted he had been arrested in connection with allegations over rape and drugs.

Techne UK chief executive Michela Morizzo said: “On the back of two significant by-election loses last week for Rishi Sunak and his Conservative Government we learn this week that a possible further by-election might be triggered in the previously safe Conservative seat of Wellingborough.

“If this were the case this significant Conservative majority would be at risk to a Labour victory and this is born out by our regular tracker poll this week.

“With Reform UK growing 1 point in national vote share to 7 percent things remain exceedingly difficult on multiple fronts for Sunak and the Conservatives.

“Moreover, it is difficult to see a bright scenario from the economic point of view and people are getting more and more upset. And looking towards the next General Elections, economy rules!”

The polling reveals that less than half (48 percent) of those who voted Tory in 2019 with Boris Johnson as leader would still back the Conservatives.

But widespread disillusionment among voters is also underlined with a third (34 percent) saying they would not vote or are uncertain.

Labour leads in every age group and economic category.

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