Weather: Met Office predicts sunny spells across UK this week
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Weather forecasters have warned that the UK could be hit with a string of ex-hurricanes making their way across the Atlantic towards the end of September and the beginning of October. According to Brian Gaze, a forecaster at The Weather Outlook, the UK tends to get more low pressure areas beginning to push from the west, and some of those can be the remnants of hurricanes that make their way towards Britain across the Atlantic.
Mr Gaze added that sooner rather than later the dry spell will end, bringing a “greater risk” of rain.
He told Express.co.uk: ”At the moment the computer model data which I’m looking at, which goes out about a month ahead, is suggesting this transition into more unsettled weather during the second half of next month.
“What looks like happening at the moment, perhaps by the end of first week of September, it may well be turning more unsettled in the northwest of the UK and then that more unsettled weather with rain will probably spread south-eastwards through the second week of September.”
Jim Dale, a forecaster at British Weather, echoed Mr Gaze’s comments claiming the fact that the country has seen “tranquil” and “stable” weather for a few weeks means that there is a slightly bigger chance of storms coming to the UK.
Mr Dale said: “These last couple of weeks, we seemed to have been locked in high pressure, which is producing stable weather.
“Stable weather isn’t unusual not at this time of year but it tends not to last, and once you’ve had a good run with it, you tend to get into the other side of the coin.
“And that’s the weather from the Atlantic coming in.”
On top of that, Tyler Roys, a Senior Meteorologist and a Lead European Forecaster at AccuWeather, has threatened that the country could be in the middle of a La Nina by October.
Mr Roys said: “There are going to be some similar atmospheric factors at play this Autumn when compared to last Autumn.
“These factors are not 100% the same as last year.
“The biggest factor that will be similar will be La Nina. Our thinking is that by October we will likely be in a La Nina, with the transition to La Nina happening this September.”
The meteorologist added: “This transition occurred in August of last year.
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“Last year between late September and early October, there was only one such storm and it impacted much of western Europe, not just the UK.
“In the end compared to normal for late September to early October, there is a chance we see the remains of a tropical feature (or two) impact the UK, while below normal chance for non-tropical storms that bring torrential rains and damaging winds to impact the UK.”
In the worst case scenario, the UK can expect an ex-tropical depression, which could bring a “deluge of rain”, according to Mr Dale.
The expert added: “You can get a few inches of rain in a short duration, along with that of course the stormy wind and storms.
“How deep they go and what impact they have will depend on what’s contained within them and by that I mean particularly the rain side of things if it drags in some tropical air.
“All of this begs a question if we will see something more tropical.”
He continued: It’s calm before the storm. It’s that scenario, the silence before the storm and that could well materialise.
“I’m not saying it will. But we should have good notice before them arriving and we should have a good warning before the storms come.
“So we should be able to warn people before anything that could have severe or catastrophic impacts arrives in the UK. But that’s the way it looks.“
The Met Office forecast for the beginning and middle of September says that the confidence is “decreasing into this period, however, there is a signal for high pressure and associated settled conditions to gradually become less dominant, with a trend towards more unsettled conditions.”
The forecast added: “This may bring changeable conditions with periods of showers and longer spells of rain, interspersed with drier spells at times.
“Temperatures are likely to be above average for the time of the year.”
Netweather is also predicting that the low pressure will dominate the weather over Britain as the Atlantic trough continues to progress eastwards between September 13 and September 21.
Netweather’s forecast said: “Temperatures will probably end up close to normal in most parts of the country, with some cooler north-westerly types affecting the country at times.
“Rainfall, in contrast to the previous two weeks, is most likely to be above normal.
“There is more uncertainty over sunshine amounts as they depend on the specifics of the unsettled weather pattern, but they are likely to be below normal in the west, with nearer normal sunshine more likely for eastern areas.”
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