Who could be the next Prime Minister? Latest polls will surprise you

Boris Johnson 'targeting Tory voters' with green policy says host

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Boris Johnson has served as the British Prime Minister during some of the nation’s most turbulent moments, leading through the Brexit transition and the pandemic. But now, amid numerous scandals involving senior members of Cabinet, failures over health management measures, and some of the highest numbers of coronavirus deaths in the world, the PM appears to be losing public support.

After a staggering victory in the 2019 general election, Mr Johnson’s party is beginning to slip in the polls.

The Conservatives, led by Mr Johnson, stormed into a 43.6 percent majority, leaving Labour trailing behind dismally with 32.2 percent, one of its worst results in history.

But the latest polling from YouGov shows this is slipping, with Westminster voting intention now on 39 percent for the Tories and 34 percent for Labour.

Elsewhere, the results look even more dismal – Smarkets, the peer-to-peer betting site which gauges public mood, has odds on Labour leading in opinion polls by the end of 2021.

And Mr Johnson’s personal ratings are suffering, too.

The latest approval rating for the PM from YouGov showed 55 percent of people believe he’s doing badly, with just 38 percent thinking he’s doing well.

This is in comparison to the staggering 66 percent approval rating he enjoyed when taking office.

Smarkets Political Analyst, Patrick Flynn, said: “Potential challengers to Boris Johnson may start circling at some point in 2022, hoping he is blamed for the government’s handling of Covid and inheriting some fresh ground.”

So who could be the next PM?

According to the Smarkets odds, the three most likely people to take over from Boris Johnson are:

  • Rishi Sunak – 28.17 percent chance
  • Michael Gove – 11.11 percent chance
  • Liz Truss – 10.00 percent chance

While Michael Gove has long been seen as a potential future prime minister, Rishi Sunak’s popularity appears to be continuing to grow.

The Chancellor has a 40 percent approval rating at the moment, with just 21 percent of those polled on YouGov thinking he’s doing a bad job.

Liz Truss, the International Trade Secretary, is another surprising entry.

Her YouGov popularity poll is on just 15 percent, but her perceived strength in Brexit trade negotiations and managing Mr Johnson’s criticised Covid travel plans appear to have made their mark.

Mr Flynn said: “Truss is perhaps the most notable at the moment as she has polled well with members and climbed to an all-time high of 10 percent on our exchange.”

He added: “The world of politics can be extremely volatile.

“Less than three months ago, the Conservatives were extending their polling lead over Labour into double figures off the back of an impressive win in Hartlepool, and Boris Johnson was very popular among his party’s members.

“Though many ‘ifs’ are required for a scenario where Johnson departs before the next general election, it’s certainly not impossible.

“If Covid restrictions have to be re-introduced this year – though this is becoming less likely -and Labour start leading in some opinion polls, potential challengers may start circling at some point in 2022.”

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